Qarabag FK vs Chelsea
Wednesday, November 5, 2025 • 17:45 GMT • Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
The UEFA Champions League League Phase intensifies as Qarabag FK welcome Chelsea to Baku in a crucial Round 4 clash. Both teams sit on 6 points after three games, making this a direct battle for playoff positioning. Chelsea arrive with a flawless 10-0 head-to-head record and red-hot domestic form, while Qarabag aim to defy history on home soil.
Head-to-Head: Chelsea's Total Dominance
The two sides have met only twice — both in the 2017/18 UCL group stage — and Chelsea won convincingly on both occasions, scoring 10 goals without reply.
| Date | Venue | Result | Chelsea Scorers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2017 | Stamford Bridge | Chelsea 6-0 Qarabag | Zappacosta, Azpilicueta, Bakayoko, Batshuayi (2), OG |
| Nov 22, 2017 | Baku | Qarabag 0-4 Chelsea | Hazard (pen), Willian (2), Fabregas (pen) |
Aggregate: Chelsea 10-0 Qarabag
Key Streak: No BTTS in either match • Chelsea clean sheets in both
Current UCL Standings (After Matchday 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Qarabag FK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 16 | Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
Recent Form (Last 6 Matches)
Qarabag FK: W D L W W W
- Goals Scored: 8 (1.33 per game)
- Clean Sheets: 4/6
- Over 2.5 Goals: 2/6
Chelsea: W W L W W W
- Goals Scored: 16 (2.67 per game)
- Over 2.5 Goals: 5/6
- BTTS: 4/6
Key Season Statistics
| Metric | Qarabag FK | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Goals Scored (per game) | 2.14 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded (per game) | 0.91 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 Goals % | 54.5% | 70.8% |
| Clean Sheets % | 45.5% | 41.7% |
| Away Over 2.5 (Chelsea) | 84.6% | |
Team News & Predicted Lineups
Qarabag FK (4-2-3-1)
Predicted XI: Mahammadaliyev; Medvedev, Mustafazada, Huseynov, Bayramov; Romao, Andrade; Benzia, Patrick, Zoubir; Juninho
Top scorer Juninho (8 goals) leads the line. No major injuries.
Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Predicted XI: Sanchez; Gusto, Fofana, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Madueke, Palmer, Neto; Jackson
Reece James doubtful. Cole Palmer fit and in form.
🔮 Final Prediction: Qarabag 0-3 Chelsea
Best Bet: Chelsea -1.5 Asian Handicap
Value Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (Chelsea away: 84.6% hit rate)
Why Chelsea Will Win
- Historical Edge: 10-0 aggregate, Qarabag failed to score in both games
- Attack vs Defense: Chelsea score 2.25/game; Qarabag concede just 0.91 at home
- Form & Depth: 5 wins in 6; superior squad quality
- Away Goal Threat: High-scoring road games (84.6% Over 2.5)
Who will win tonight? Drop your prediction in the comments! 👇
Comment NowStats via FcTables, UEFA.com, Transfermarkt. All predictions are probabilistic. Gamble responsibly.