Vitoria-Gasteiz La Liga Match Preview – October 20, 2025 – Alavés vs Valencia prediction for tonight's La Liga Matchday 9 clash at 21:00 CET in the Estadio de Mendizorroza. Deportivo Alavés (10th) host struggling Valencia CF (15th) in a must-win La Liga fixture for both sides. Alavés vs Valencia odds heavily favor the Babazorros at 2.39 to capitalize on Valencia's dismal away form (0 wins in 4). Read our expert Alavés vs Valencia preview, team news, head-to-head stats, predicted lineups, and betting tips for this La Liga 2025/26 showdown.
Estadio de Mendizorroza: Alavés' La Liga Fortress vs Valencia's Away Nightmare
Alavés vs Valencia venue analysis: The 19,840-capacity Mendizorroza becomes a fortress for 10th-placed Alavés, who remain unbeaten in 7 straight home games vs Valencia. La Liga's passionate Basque crowd will roar as Alavés (11 points) face Valencia (8 points) desperate to end their relegation zone flirtation. Alavés home stats: 1.75 points per game, scoring in 100% of home matches.
La Liga Form Guide: Alavés Rising vs Valencia Freefalling
Alavés La Liga Form (10th Place, 11 Points)
- Recent form: W-D-L-W-L (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses overall)
- Last result: 3-1 home win vs Elche – Carlos Vicente, Antonio Martínez, Lucas Boyé scored
- Home record: 2W-1D-1L, 7 goals scored, 5 conceded
- Key stat: 38% over 2.5 goals rate, 1.13 goals per game average
Valencia La Liga Form (15th Place, 8 Points)
- Recent form: L-L-D-W-L (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses in last 5)
- Last result: 2-1 loss to Girona
- Away record: 0W-1D-3L, 0.25 points per game, 12 goals conceded in last 5 games
- Key stat: 2.4 goals conceded per game recently
Alavés vs Valencia form table:
| Team | La Liga Position | Points | Recent Form | Home/Away PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alavés | 10th | 11 | W-D-L-W-L | 1.75 (Home) |
| Valencia | 15th | 8 | L-L-D-W-L | 0.25 (Away) |
Alavés vs Valencia Head-to-Head: 7-Game Home Unbeaten Streak
H2H stats reveal Alavés dominance at Mendizorroza:
- Total meetings: 30 games – Valencia 13W, Alavés 10W, 7 draws
- At Mendizorroza: Alavés unbeaten in 7 (5W, 2D)
- Last meeting: Alavés 1-0 Valencia (home)
- Goals average: 2.37 per game
- BTTS: 70% of matches
- Recent trend: Under 2.5 goals in last 2 H2Hs
Alavés vs Valencia Team News & Predicted Lineups
**Alavés Predicted XI (4-4-2) – *La Liga Best XI Prediction*:
Sivera; Youssef, Pacheco, Tenaglia, Jonny; Rebbach, Blanco, Ibañez, **Vicente**; **Boyé**, Kike García
Injuries: Antonio Martínez, Calebe, Nikola Maras OUT
Key players: Carlos Vicente (playmaker), Lucas Boyé (goal threat)
Valencia Predicted XI (4-2-3-1):
Mamardashvili; Foulquier, Mosquera, Ozkacar, Gaya; Pepelu, Guerra; Aarons, Barrenechea, **Danjuma**; **Duro**
Injuries: Mouctar Diakhaby OUT
Key players: Hugo Duro, Arnaut Danjuma (pace)
Alavés vs Valencia Betting Odds & Predictions
Match Result Odds:
- Alavés Win: 2.39 ⭐ BEST BET
- Draw: 3.30
- Valencia Win: 3.00
Best Alavés vs Valencia Bets:
- Alavés to Win @ 2.39 – Unbeaten in 7 home vs Valencia
- Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 – Recent H2H trend
- BTTS No @ 1.75 – Valencia clean sheet struggle
Score Prediction: Alavés 1-0 Valencia ⚽
Why Alavés Will Beat Valencia – 5 Key Stats
- 7-game home unbeaten streak vs Valencia
- Valencia 0 away wins in La Liga 2025/26
- Alavés scoring in 100% home games
- Valencia 12 goals conceded in last 5 matches
- Mendizorroza fortress atmosphere
Where to Watch: Alavés vs Valencia Live Stream
- Kickoff: 21:00 CET (Monday, October 20, 2025)
- TV: LaLigaTV, Movistar+, DAZN
- Live Stream: Official La Liga apps, betting sites
Final La Liga prediction: 10th-placed Alavés will exploit 15th-placed Valencia's away woes to secure all 3 points in this Matchday 9 six-pointer. Amunt Alavés! 🏆⚽
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